Katrina puts supply chains to the ultimate test
Highways in the Gulf Coast region have sustained serious damage
in the wake of hurricane Katrina, with major bridges along
east-west interstate highways washed away. Rail lines suffered
similar damage. Reaching these areas to effect temporary repairs
was the first challenge, but funding for repairs will have to be
addressed.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) funds is spending an
estimated $500 million per day in its initial response to
Katrina.
Though the Bush Administration has called the economic impact of
Katrina “temporary,” the need to restore vital
infrastructure will carry a heavy price tag. Many of the Gulf ports
have done initial assessments of their facilities and found they
could be returned to operation fairly quickly. Most damage at the
Port of New Orleans appears to be to buildings. Container cranes
had been secured and initially appear to be operational. Following
safety inspection, they are expected to be returned to
operation.
But two immediate problems faced the ports. One is debris and silt
in channels and harbors. The other is locating port workers who may
have been evacuated or faced significant personal losses due to the
hurricane. Some clean-up and dredging will be needed to restore the
ports, but the bigger problem is expected to be along the river
system, which could require more substantial clean up and
dredging.
Mode shifts from river barge to rail and truck are expected to add
cost for shippers. Rail lines are also being taxed by increased
volumes and reroutings away from the affected area. Delays are
inevitable, but railroads are providing no initial estimates of the
impact.
Many of the crops that would normally be exported through ports
like New Orleans had not been harvested at the time of the
hurricane, so some of that traffic is expected to continue to flow
through the ports as the recovery efforts proceed. This also
provides ample time for those shipments to be rerouted.
Container traffic through the ports presents a different problem.
While the cranes may be operable and draft may be sufficient for
ships to dock, local infrastructure represents a longer term
concern. Local warehouses and terminals have sustained significant
damage. In addition, highway and rail line repairs have to be made
to restore distribution capacity.
New Orleans is the 20th largest container port in the U.S.,
followed at 22nd by Gulfport, Miss. New Orleans handled 251,000
twenty-foot-equivalent units (TEUs) in 2003 and Gulfport handled
nearly 200,000 TEUs that same year. Other Gulf ports –
Mobile, Ala. and Lake Charles, La. – handled 23,900 TEUs and
19,000 TEUs, respectively.
Estimates of the economic impact of Katrina range from the simple
Administration response that disruptions will be
“temporary” to a more specific 0.5% drop in gross
domestic product (GDP) in 2005 and as much as a 1% drop in 2006. At
the time the hurricane struck the Gulf Coast, peak shipping was
starting for the prime retail season. The impact of Katrina on
consumer confidence and spending is undetermined.
http://www.fema.gov/
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